Milwaukee City Wire

Wisconsin U.S. Rep. Gwen Moore has downplayed rising concerns about inflation and a Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report that the Biden administration’s Build Back Better Act may increase the national debt by $3 trillion.

“A number of economists have made it clear that the long-term investments in the Build Back Better Act will not affect inflation,” Moore, a Democrat, told Milwaukee City Wire. “Additionally, it is estimated the fully paid for Build Back Better Act that passed the House will not add to the deficit while lowering the cost of health care, childcare, education, housing and prescription drugs. These expenses are squeezing the pockets of Americans, which hurts ordinary Americans and our economy. When families can’t afford childcare, it pushes women out of the workforce. When children don’t have the resources to learn, grow and succeed, we hinder the potential of our future workforce. Democrats have made clear that any further extensions of the programs in the House passed Build Back Better Act would be fully offset, something that CBO did not or was not asked to consider in its recent hypothetical estimates. That’s why we need the House-passed Build Back Better Act to create long-term economic growth. This happens when we invest in people, not with tax cuts to the wealthy and corporations.”

Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia said over the weekend that he could not support the Build Back Better bill in its current form, given its possible effects on inflation. The apparent failure of the bill to attract enough Democratic votes to pass the Senate also led Goldman Sachs to reduce its projections on U.S. economic growth in the coming year.

A recent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) report found that the national debt would rise by $3 trillion in the likely event that BBB social spending programs are extended beyond the short initial time periods.

Such projections come as economic data shows that the U.S. inflation rate in December reflected a 39-year high, according to Fox Business News. 

"Inflation at a nearly 40-year high is not something the Federal Reserve can ignore,” Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former Dallas Fed adviser, said. “While gas prices are starting to decline, there is still plenty of food inflation. There is risk now that inflation has become entrenched in households’ psyches, which further pressures policymakers at the Fed to be more aggressive in their tightening stance."

The U.S. Producer Price Index jumped 9.6% in November compared to the same time in 2020, according to CNBC. Prices rose 0.7% during the month of November alone when food, energy and trade services costs are factored out – the largest gain on record.

Such price reports seem to be spooking consumers. A recent Morning Consult survey concluded that six out of 10 voters are “very concerned” about inflation, while 27% are “somewhat concerned." Concerned voters included large majorities of both Republicans and Democrats, the poll found.

An ABC News-Ipsos poll found that more than two-thirds of U.S. residents opposed the way President Joe Biden has dealt with inflation and that Biden’s approval ratings have dropped on the issues of crime and gun violence. Biden has said he expects inflation to decline if the BBB Act passes, even with the expected surge in the national debt if the plan becomes law.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has said that the bill would have mixed effects on inflation. Those provisions that add to public spending and demand for goods and services will put upward pressure on inflation, according to the committee. But some provisions that boost supply or reduce demand, such as offsetting tax increases, will help to reduce inflation. 

Mark Stephenson, director of dairy policy analysis at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said that inflation may reverberate strongly on the nation’s farms.

“I think that one of the things we are going to see, with the kind of wage inflation we have, is that people are going to invest in labor-saving technology, and at the farm level that means automation,” Stephenson told WQOW. 

Higher inflation will also make it more difficult for Americans to monitor which costs are rising fastest, according to University of South Carolina economist William Hauk.

“For consumers, higher prices on essential goods like food and gasoline may become unaffordable for people whose paychecks aren’t rising as much,” Hauk told the Kitsap Sun. “But even when their wages are rising, higher inflation makes it harder for consumers to tell if a particular good is getting more expensive relative to other goods, or just in line with the average price increase.”